SYMPOSIA PAPER Published: 01 January 2004

A Software Framework for Probabilistic Fatigue Life Assessment of Gas Turbine Engine Rotors


An enhanced life management process based on probabilistic damage tolerance methods has been developed to address material anomalies in titanium rotating components of gas turbine engines. Related methods are being used as tools to investigate the impact of engine monitoring and usage variability on prognosis for field readiness and life management. This paper begins with an overview of the process of probabilistic damage tolerant design, using the DARWIN® computer program to illustrate the interplay between various random variables and the conventional elements of structural design and life prediction. Special attention is then given to the initial distribution of material anomalies, scatter in fatigue crack growth data, and variability in complex mission histories. The significance of each source of variability for different applications is discussed.

Author Information

McClung, RC
Southwest Research Institute, San Antonio, TX
Enright, MP
Southwest Research Institute, San Antonio, TX
Millwater, HR
University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX
Leveront, GR
Southwest Research Institute, San Antonio, TX
Hudak, SJ
Southwest Research Institute, San Antonio, TX
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Developed by Committee: E08
Pages: 199–215
DOI: 10.1520/STP11288S
ISBN-EB: 978-0-8031-5496-4
ISBN-13: 978-0-8031-3478-2