A method of calibration that establishes a new bound of confidence for instrument measurements is derived and applied. This bound is named the McDonald-Trautner Interval (MTI). The derivation of the MTI incorporates the bivariate probability distributions of each data point conventionally used to form a regression line. A statistically significant number of parameter measurements on a sample must be made by both the instrument being calibrated and the calibrating medium. When calibration is based solely on regression analysis, the calibrating medium is assumed to be 100% reliable. The MTI includes the variability of the medium. The method is demonstrated on the calibration of a heavy metal detector. The calibrating medium is a chemical process. Compared to the conditional standard deviation bounds of linear regression, it is found that the MTI is a simple means to obtain a more statistically rigorous calibration procedure and is a better indication of the expected value of a variable.
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