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    Probabilistic Aspects of Life Prediction

    Johnson WS, Hillberry BM
    Published: 2004

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    Seventeen peer-reviewed papers give you the latest information on probabilistic fatigue life prediction methodology, including how to accurately determine the useful life or inspection intervals for complex structures

    Sections cover:

    Probabilistic Modeling—life prediction, computational simulations, and service loading spectra

    Material Variability—quality, performance, reliability, and uncertainties of various materials, including aluminum, ceramics, and steel, as they relate to fracture toughness and fatigue crack growth

    Applications—realistic approaches to and applications of probabilistic fatigue life predictions

    STP 1450 is a valuable resource for structural designers, fatigue and fracture engineers, and materials engineers who need to:
    • Assure safety
    • Avoid costly litigation
    • Set meaningful inspection intervals
    • Establish economic risks

    Table of Contents

    Probabilistic Life Prediction Isn't as Easy as It Looks

    Probabilistic Fatigue: Computational Simulation

    The Prediction of Fatigue Life Distributions from the Analysis of Plain Specimen Data

    Modeling Variability in Service Loading Spectra

    Probabilistic Fracture Toughness and Fatigue Crack Growth Estimation resulting From Material Uncertainties

    Predicting Fatigue Life Under Spectrum Loading in 2024-T3 Aluminum Using a Measured Initial Flaw Size Distribution

    Extension of a Microstructure-Based Fatigue Crack Growth Model for Predicting Fatigue Life Variability

    Scatter in Fatigue Crack Growth Rate in a Directionally Solidified Nickel-Base Superalloy

    Mechanism-Based Variability in Fatigue Life of Ti-6Al-2Sn-4Zr-6Mo

    Predicting the Reliability of Ceramics Under Transient Loads and Temperatures with CARES/Life

    Fatigue Life Variability Prediction Based on Crack Forming Inclusions in a High Strength Alloy Steel

    Preliminary Results of the United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission's Pressurized Thermal Shock Rule Reevaluation Project

    Corrosion Risk Assessment of Aircraft Structures

    A Software Framework for Probabilistic Fatigue Life Assessment of Gas Turbine Engine Rotors

    Application of Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics in Structural Design of Magnet Component Parts Operating Under Cyclic Loads at Cryogenic Temperatures

    A Methodology for Assessing Fatigue Crack Growth Reliability of Railroad Tank Cars

    Effect of Individual Component Life Distribution on Engine Life Prediction

    Committee: E08

    DOI: 10.1520/STP1450-EB

    ISBN-EB: 978-0-8031-5496-4

    ISBN-13: 978-0-8031-3478-2